The Voyage of Captain Obvious

Grading is satanic

Sunday, July 17, 2005

Schedule strength

Much has been made around the general baseball blogosphere regarding the weakness of the cardinals schedule being a partial determinant of their success this year. Though this may be partially true, i think that this is something much exaggerated. This year, the cardinals have vaced 19 opponents. A quick look at the standings will show that of these opponents, 11 have losing records, and on average, are 6.6 games under .500.

Howevewr, all of these things factor in the games that these teams played against the cardinals. It seems odd to me to peanalize the cardinals schedule strength, when they consistently beat the teams that they play, thus weakening their standings.

If you eliminate the games these 19 teams played against the Cardinals from their record, 2 of these opponents, Houston and Milwalkee, go from being losing teams to having winning records. The Cardinals' opponents go from being 6.6 games under .500 to being 4.4 under, resulting from the awful records of the Rockies, D-Rays and Royals. Overall, they have played 47 games against teams that have losing records vs. non-cardinals teams, and 44 against teams that have winning records elsewhere. Also note that playing 8 games against the Rockies (who they finishted 4 and 4 against) has also severely dragged these averages down.

The point? The Cardinals, though not having the strongest schedule in the history of baseball, have also not had as weak of one as they have been said to. Also, this week offers another, especially savory opportunity to turn a winner into a loser--the stupid Cubbies (at 46 wins and 45 losses). Come on Cards, "weaken" your schedule, and make a winning team into a losing one!


  • At 18 July, 2005 10:18, Anonymous cardsrul said…

    Good call. I'm constantly amused when people "blame" the Cards for the teams they play; like they have control over it. I've grown weary of having to defend this notion, and now I just say "OK, whatever...".

  • At 18 July, 2005 16:16, Anonymous rockin redbird said…

    yeah, this whole "easy schedule" thing is mostly malarkey put forth by Flub fans who are desperate to explain why their team sucks and their rival is kicking ass. aside from who was played in some of the AL games (Flubs/wSox, Cards/Royals), I haven't seen much one-sided advantage at all--and who'd have thunk the wSox would have turned out to be the powerhouse they've been all season? Luck of that draw did go to us, but overall, everybody in the division plays everybody else. ya either win or lose and that's that.

  • At 19 July, 2005 06:32, Blogger Valatan said…

    Ya, and it's not like the division's going to be decided by 2 or 3 games anyway...

  • At 12 November, 2005 14:11, Blogger Roberto Iza Valdes said…

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